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Wednesday, June 24, 2009

24 jun

GBPUSD Daily Forecast

The GBPUSD attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.6208 but further bearish momentum was rejected as the pair whipsawed to the upside, topped at 1.6471 and closed at 1.6450. On h4 chart below we can see that this was the case of a false triangle breakdown. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6505/59 area but remains neutral in medium term. CCI just cross the 100 line down on h1 chart so watch out for potential downside rebound testing 1.6350 support area. Break below that area should lead us into no trading zone.

Saturday, June 20, 2009

GU summary

Thursday, June 18, 2009

18 jun

GBPUSD Daily Forecast
The GBPUSD made indecisive market yesterday, formed a Doji formation on daily chart. On h1 chart below we can see that the pair is still trapped in 1.6505 – 1.6215 ranging area. I think we are still in no trading zone and it’s better to keep stay out from the market. Break from the ranging area should give us clearer direction.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

17 jun

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

16 jun

Monday, June 15, 2009

15 jun


GBPUSD Daily Outlook

The GBPUSD also had bearish momentum on Friday. On h4 chart below we can see that the bearish momentum came after price failed to break above 1.6660 area. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6240 area but remains neutral in medium term and I think it’s not the best time to trade now. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.6475 – 1.6510 area. Initial support at 1.6320. Break below that area should trigger further weakness for Sterling towards 1.6240 area. CCI just cross the 100 line down on daily chart suggesting potential downside pressure.
GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.6307
S2= 1.6187
S3= 1.6042
R1= 1.6572
R2= 1.6717
R3= 1.6837

Sunday, June 14, 2009

14 jun



javascript:void(0)

Friday, June 12, 2009

12 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD had significant bullish momentum yesterday. The pair topped at 1.6619 and closed at 1.6589. The bias is bullish in nearest term but we seem to have important resistance around1.6660 area. Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum towards 1.6800 area. CCI just cross the 100 line down on h1 chart suggesting a potential minor downside pullback testing 1.6530 and 1.6475 support area.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.6412
  • S2= 1.6235
  • S3= 1.6132
  • R1= 1.6692
  • R2= 1.6795
  • R3= 1.6972

Thursday, June 11, 2009

11 jun


GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD attempted to continued it’s bullish momentum yesterday. The pair topped at 1.6471 but the bullish power seemed limited as the pair closed lower at 1.6356. The bias is neutral in nearest term but bullish scenario in medium term remains intact. Immediate support is seen at 1.6315 followed by 1.6215. Initial resistance at 1.6471 (yesterday’s high) Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum retesting 1.6660 area.CCI in neutral area on h1 chart. 

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

10 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The 
GBPUSD also had bullish momentum yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see that the trendline support and 1.5790area provided strong support area for medium term. The minor bearish channel has been violated to the upside suggesting potential bullish outlook testing 1.6660 (June 03 high) area in medium term. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6435. However CCI just cross the 100 line down on h1 chart so watch out for potential downside pressure testing 1.6230 support area. Break below that area could lead us into no trading zone. Be very patient at this phase.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.6071
  • S2= 1.5840
  • S3= 1.5696
  • R1= 1.6446
  • R2= 1.6590
  • R3= 1.6821

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

9 jun

GBPUSD Outlook

The GBPUSD also attempt to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.5800 but closed higher at 1.6043. On h1 chart below we can see that support at 1.5790 area did a good job preventing the pair from further bearish attack. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.6103 (yesterday’s high). Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum towards 1.6240 area. CCI in neutral area on both h4 and daily chart.

Sunday, June 7, 2009

6 jun

GBPUSD Outlook

The GBPUSD had significant bearish momentum yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.5940 and closed at 1.5973. On weekly chart below, we can see that this week movement formed a “shooting star” candlestick pattern which technically a bearish formation. We also can see that the upper shadow of the “shooting star” ended at important (strong) resistance around 1.6670 area (June 03rd 2009 and November 30th 2008 highs) before slightly fell to the downside. At the same time, weekly CCI in overbought area and heading down suggesting a potential downside pressure. For the upcoming week, any consistent movement below 1.5950 area ( 23.6% Fibo retracement of 1.3886 – 1.6660) should support the bearish scenario and trigger further bearish momentum towards 1.5520 area.

STRATEGI BREAKOUT

X-EMAs Breakout Strategy ©
Oleh Hj. Azriy Bin Hj. Abdullah Saghir A.M.N.
Click to enlarge
Rajah 2-01 : Contoh Tetingkap GBPJPY, H1
4 Candles Breakout Strategy
(Strategi ini sesuai digunakan sepanjang hari dari 8.00 pagi hingga 12.00 malam.)

Perhatikan KOTAK MERAH pada TF H1 candle 00:00 hingga 03:00. Ini merupakan tempoh 4 candle permulaan dalam pasaran Forex yang bersesuaian dengan Outbreak Tokyo Open.
Tinggi kotak ini merupakan julat (market range) bagi tempoh ini. Jika market sudah rancak, tinggilah julat ini, jika tidak, rendahlah julatnya. 

Latar belakang julat ini sudah diwarnakan biru muda (kita namakan ZON BIRU) sehingga candle 19:00 (12.00 malam), iaitu waktu sesuai untuk para trader di Malaysia pergi beradu. Selepas 12 malam, tidurlah dengan hati gembira selepas seharian memorex. 

Bahagian atas ZON BIRU merupakan BUY ZONE dan bahagian bawah SELL ZONE.
Sebelah atas dan bawah ZON BIRU ada garisan biru tua ofset 1 pip bagi memudahkan setting PRICE dan STOP LOSS. Lakukan ujian beberapa kali, jika sesuai dengan ofset ini teruskan, ada juga cadangan offset 5 atau 10 pips.... uji,  uji,  uji...

Tugas anda setiap hari bermula pada 8.00 pagi hingga 12.00 malam, 5 hari seminggu.
 
1.     Perhatikan candle di dalam ZON BIRU samda sesuai dilakukan Pending Order atau tidak. Jika sesuai, teruskan dengan langkah 2. Jika tidak, ikut arahan dalam Bab 3.   
2.     Apabila candle 03:45 TF M15 selesai, iaitu pada 9.01 pagi, setkan 2 Pending Order 
        a.    Pending Order 1 – BUY STOP:
                i.      Price :            1 pip di atas ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                ii.     Stop Loss :      1 pip di bawah ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                iii.    Take Profit :   
                        Jika julat ZON BIRU kecil, letakkan TP yang besar  100 - 200 pips.
                        Jika julat ZON BIRU besar, letakkan TP yang kecil  80 - 100pips
                        Jika julat ZON BIRU terlalu besar, JANGAN LETAK Pending Order.
                        Jika nak trade tanpa tekanan, letak 20 - 30 pips saja. 
                        Setiap kali masuk, sekejap je dah close. Kadang-kadang tak sempat tengok.
        b.    Pending Order 2 – SELL STOP:
                i.      Price :            1 pip di bawah ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                ii.     Stop Loss :      1 pip di atas ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                iii.    Take Profit :    sama seperti di atas
                iv.    Semuanya cadangan je!! – sila buat ujian dan sesuaikan. 
                        Scroll balik Metatrader anda dan check !!!
                v.     Test, Test, & Test…. 
 
3.    Jika sudah masuk trade awal, tutup sebelum 1.00 ptg 
4.    Jika belum masuk trade sehingga 1.00 ptg, boleh tunggu atau batalkan semua order.

Waktu rehat 1.00 hingga 3.00 ptg

Masuk pejabat sebelum 3.00 ptg

Jika Pending Order pagi tadi masih ada, tunggu sajalah.
Jika Order pagi tadi sudah ditutup, 
1.    Klik pada Window “London GBPJPY Breakout Strategy” (jika disediakan)
2.    Perhatikan candle-candle di dalam ZON BIRU sama ada sesuai dilakukan Pending Order atau tidak. Jika sesuai, teruskan dengan langkah 3. Jika tidak, ikut arahan dalam Bab 3.   
3.    Apabila candle 09:45 TF M15 selesai, iaitu pada 3.01 ptg setkan 2 Pending Order sekali lagi seperti Langkah 1 a, b
4.    Jika sudah masuk trade, boleh tutup sebelum 6.45 ptg .
5.    Jika belum masuk trade sehingga 6.45 ptg, boleh tunggu atau batalkan semua order. 

Waktu rehat 7.00 hingga 8.00

Masuk pejabat sebelum jam 8.00 malam

Jika Pending Order petang tadi masih ada, tunggu sajalah.
Jika Order petang tadi sudah ditutup, 
1.    Klik pada Window “New York Early Bird Breakout Strategy”. (jika disediakan)
2.    Perhatikan candle-candle di dalam ZON BIRU sama ada sesuai dilakukan Pending Order atau tidak. Jika sesuai, teruskan dengan langkah 3. Jika tidak, ikut arahan dalam Bab 3.   
3.    Apabila candle 14:45 selesai, pada 8.01 atau pun kemudian, setkan 2 Pending Order sekali lagi seperti Langkah 1 a, b
4.    Masuk trade ke tak masuk ke,  untung ke tak untung ke, tutuplah sebelum 12.00 malam supaya dapat elak swap (ataupun buka akaun Islamic Forex – Swap Free Account)

TUTUP PEJABAT 12.00 malam

PERHATIAN :  
1.    Jika anda tidak selesa dengan penggunaan 3 Window GBPJPY ini, anda boleh kekal guna Window “4 Candles Breakout Strategy” sehingga malam. 

2.    Biasanya lebih tepat breakout jika dipandukan kepada 4 candle sebelum sesuatu market dibuka ATAU boleh dibuat perbandingan. 

3.    Sila lihat 3 gambarajah berikut sekali lagi yang menunjukkan perbezaan apabila kita meenggunakan 3 template berbeza untuk 8.00 pagi, 3.00 petang dan 8.00 malam.


Rajah 2-02


Rajah 2-03


Rajah 2-04

4.    Bila dah kena satu Pending Order, batalkan yang satu lagi.

5.    Selepas dapat profit, boleh masuk semula menggunakan EMAs bersilang.

6.    Bila julat ZON BIRU terlalu besar. 
        a.    Tunggu punya tunggu, atas tak kena, bawah pun tak kena, batalkan semua pending order.
        b.    Gunakan strategi X-EMAs sahaja. 

7.    Jika anda berpuashati dengan 1 trade setiap hari:
a.    Tunggu saja sehingga pending order pagi mengena dan dapat profit/loss.
b.    Tutup komputer, take day off …..  YATB -  You Are The Boss !!

8.    Anda boleh masuk menggunakan Strategy X-EMAs walaupun sudah ada pending order “Breakout Strategy” yang belum kena. 

Situasi TIDAK SESUAI Untuk Pending Order Breakout


1.    Perhatikan Rajah 2-05.
  • Anda masuk pejabat jam 3.00 ptg, baru selesai market reverse (candle merah) semasa Frankfurt Open.
  • Julat ZON BIRU melebihi 160 pips.
  • Jangan letak Pending Order.
  • Enter position menggunakan strategi X-EMAs
Rajah 2-05  Rajah 2-06
         
2.    Perhatikan pula Rajah 2-06
  • Anda masuk pejabat jam 3.00 ptg
  • Ada panah hijau pada candle ke-3, tetapi baru selesai candle merah.
  • Julat ZON BIRU menghampiri 200 pips.
  • Jangan letak Pending Order.  
  • Enter position menggunakan strategi X-EMAs

STRATEGI X-EMAS

Strategi X-EMAs atau EMAs Bersilang menggunakan 5EMA dan 6EMA yang bersilang dan 20EMA sebagai penanda trend. Strategi ini boleh diguna sepanjang hari.
ENTRY

1. Buka tetingkap time frame M15.
a. Tunggu 5EMA bersilang dengan 6EMA pada time frame M15.
b. Bila ada persilangan, alarm dibunyikan, mesej diberi dan arah persilangan ditunjukkan dengan arah panah MERAH ke bawah / HIJAU ke atas.
c. Lukis satu garisan menegak (vertical line) pada candle yang ada arah panah tadi.
Click to enlarge
Rajah 3-01
2. Tukar ke time frame H1.
a. Sepatutnya 5EMA juga bersilang dengan 6EMA.
b. Ataupun mungkin sudah ada persilangan sebelum ini. Arah panah/warna yang sama.
c. Pastikan !! Confirmed !!
d. Jika TIADA PERSILANGAN, JANGAN MASUK !!
e. Jika ada persilangan boleh diteruskan.

Click to enlarge
Rajah 3-02
3. Tukar ke time frame M15
a. Jika arah panah ke bawah (MERAH),
b. Masuk trade SELL dengan beberapa pips DI BAWAH candle yang ditanda.
c. Jika arah panah ke atas (HIJAU),
d. Masuk trade BUY dengan beberapa pips DI ATAS candle yang ditanda.

Rajah 3-03
4. Gambarajah di atas menunjukkan situasi yang ideal untuk Entry Position BUY
  1. Tanda panah Hijau
  2. Keadaan bar graf Accelerator Meter
  3. Susunan warna EMA, dan
  4. Kedudukan candle berbanding line EMA Hijau

Rajah 3-04
5. Gambarajah di atas menunjukkan situasi yang ideal untuk Entry Position SELL
  1. Tanda panah Merah
  2. Keadaan bar graf Accelerator Meter yang kecil
  3. Susunan warna EMA, dan
  4. Kedudukan candle berbanding line EMA Hijau

Rajah 3-05
6. Rajah di atas menunjukkan keadaan tidak sesuai untuk Enter SELL (panah merah), tetapi sesuai untuk Enter BUY (panah hijau). Semasa panah merah, 20EMA berada jauh di bawah 5EMA dan 6EMA. Lazimnya bila EMA berat di bawah, ia akan masih terus menolak ke atas (BUY).

7. Sebagai panduan, gunakan supports dan resistants sebagai TAKE PROFIT (TP).
a. Sekiranya dalam posisi SHORT, entry pada PIVOT, maka TP pada S1;
b. Jika entry pada S1, TP pada S2 dan begitulah sebaliknya
c. Sila rujuk gambarajah di bawah dan perhatikan harga bergerak mengikut limitasi S dan R.
Rajah 3-06
STOP LOSS :
Di mana nak letak stop loss ? Soalan cepumas. Berikut panduan kasar yang diberikan:

1. STOP LOSS pula letakkan pada point paling tinggi/rendah 4 candle sebelum posisi diambil (Time frame H1) iaitu 4 jam sebelumnya. Kalau SELL ambil point paling tinggi dan kalau BUY ambil point paling rendah.
2. Atau pun satu kaedah lagi ialah julat KOTAK MERAH candle 00:00 hingga 03:00 (4 candle semuanya) yang menunjukkan range bagi 4 jam pertama hari berkenaan. Berapa pips range semasa tempoh ini boleh digunakan sebagai range SL.
3. Kalau GBPJPY 100 - 120 pips mungkin baru sesuai.

EXIT:

1. Bila berlaku persilangan 5EMA dan 6EMA semula pada TF H1, CLOSE position.
2. Dinasihatkan CLOSE position dalam tempoh 3 candle pada H1 time frame.
3. Sekiranya 5EMA dan 6EMA masih bergerak selari (dengan jarak yang konstant) para trader boleh tunggu sehingga 5EMA menunjukan kecenderongan ke arah 6EMA. Terus EXIT
4. Perhatikan juga trendlines yang terbentuk. Jika HL_1 dan LL_1 berkeadaan selari (parallel) jangan EXIT.
5. Jika HL_1 dan LL_1 menguncup dan berbentuk 3 segi pada TF M15, bolehlah EXIT.

Friday, June 5, 2009

5 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD continued it’s bearish correction yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.6092 and closed at 1.6172. The pair keep moving lower at the time I wrote this comment, traded around 1.6130. The bias is bearish in nearest term but remains bullish in medium term. I think it’s better to stay away for now. Immediate support is seen at 1.6090 area. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum towards 1.5950. CCI about to cross the -100 line down on hourly chart suggesting a potential downside pressure. Eyes on US Non Farm Payroll data today.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.6032
  • S2= 1.5892
  • S3= 1.5693
  • R1= 1.6371
  • R2= 1.6570
  • R3= 1.6710

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Jam Time







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It’s easy to set up and install. SymmTime automatically synchronizes your system clock through the Internet to any accessible NTP server. You can set as many time zones as you need, and change them anytime you want – it’s perfect for being on time for transcontinental communications.

Favorite SymmTime features include:

  • Hundreds of time zones – with daylight saving times from around the world
  • Multiple clocks on one panel
  • Tailor the clocks in the clock panel many different ways, including:
    • Time zones/cities of your choice
    • Number of clocks on the clock panel
    • Analog (with clock face and hands) or digital
    • 24-hour or AM/PM
    • With or without city/time zone
Free and Easy to Download
Just download the free software and follow the simple, and intuitive installation. SymmTime 2009 automatically overrides any prior versions.

4 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The Greenback also recovered slightly against Sterling yesterday. On Fibonacci retracement study from bigger point of view of daily chart below (of 1.3886 – 1.6660) we can see that this downside momentum is actually a normal correction movement and should not be a surprise. The bias is bearish in nearest term but remains bullish in medium term. I think it’s better to stay away from the market and wait for further development. Immediate support is seen at 1.6240 and 1.6110 area. CCI just cross the 100 line down on daily chart suggesting a potential downside pressure

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

3 jun

GBPUSD Outlook

The GBPUSD continued it’s bullish momentum yesterday. The pair hit my long target at 1.6290, even higher, topped at 1.6496 and closed at 1.6438. On hourly chart below we have a valid bullish channel indicating bullish scenario. The bias remains bullish in nearest term targeting 1.6560 and 1.6670 area. Immediate support is seen at 1.6420 followed by 1.6360. CCI in overbought area and heading down on h4 chart suggesting a potential minor downside correction.

Monday, June 1, 2009

GBPUSD Outlook

After some consolidation movement last week, the GBPUSD continued it’s bullish scenario on Friday. On hourly chart below we can see that after break above 1.6000 key level the pair topped at 1.6198 and close at 1.6186. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 1.6290. However, we seem to have a good resistance area at 1.6198 (Friday and November 5th 2008 high). We need a consistent movement above that area to confirm further bullish scenario. CCI in overbought area and heading down suggesting a potential downside rebound testing 1.6130 - 1.6090 support area.

Amazing GBP/JPY System

Have A Nice PIPS

Rules Of Trading

Trade Only When Trend and Position Indicator Agree
Trade With Your Mind, Not Your Heart
Trade Actuarially. Trade With a Clear Goal in Mind !
Avoid Being A Psycho-Trader!
No System is Infallible! Risk No More Than 5 % Equity per Live Session
Accept Losses as Graciously as You Accept Profits
Get Potential Profit With Trailing Stop EA

If the price moves in opposite direction the system change the Stop Loss (SL) level so the worst
case scenario is that you exit this trade with break even, profit and minimize lost.

On MT4 minimum Trailing Stop : 15 but with this EA you can set only 5 point.

You can DOWNLOAD This EA For FREE in This LINK
and User Guide in This Link

Using this EA, You can set Take Profit (TP) at smaller Pips but with bigger Lot.
It Means, Making Bigger Potential Win at each Trade.

Remember Again: Please test the Indicator and the Trailing Stop EA in to your demo account first, better late then regret later.

Have A Nice Pips…..
HOW TO AVOID FALSE SIGNAL

Click the image to open in full size.


To Avoid False Signal……..
All signal Must Confirm with TOPTREND Indicator.
TOPTREND is RED and above price = ONLY …SELL
TOPTREND is BLUE and below price = ONLY …BUYSO EASY………….
You can put the indicator in your folder:
C:/Program File/Meta Trader4/experts/indicators
then close your Meta trader platform and re open it.
Then Click …Insert….Indicator…Custom….TOPTREND ….that’s all….
You can DOWNLOAD HERE this TOPTREND Indicator
Success TIPS PANCA-EAGLE BREAK OUT

Click the image to open in full size.


Success Tips (1):
1. Make Sure and Always Confirm Your Action (Buy/Sell) with Trend Indicator
(You can combine with your trend indicator).
To Help You AVOID whipsaws.
2. Recommended to apply PIPSLOCK or TRAILING STOP
example : pipslock rules:
- Move your SL +5 after 20 pips profit.
- Move your SL +10 after 30 pips profit
- Move your SL +20 after 40 pips profit
- Move your SL +30 after 60 pips profit
etc….practice in demo account first to use pipslock…
you can set pipslock according to your experience to protect your pipsAnd You can use 15 pips Trailing Stop.
3.When current price is near buy/sell area, you shouldn’t do pending order.
but if current price in middle of red box , You can put pending order with 15 pips Trailing Stop. But You do instant execution buy/sell, It’s recommended and for better result.

have a nice pips…..
Panca-Eagle Break Out Forex Indicator (FREE)

Click the image to open in full size.


So Easy and Very Simple………………..

Take Your Pips………Everyday……………….
You Can Download Here…..FREE
Panca-Eagle Break Out Forex Indicator

Click the image to open in full size.


Panca-Eagle Break Out Strategy RULES:
1. For All Major Currency : EUR/USD, USD/CHF, GBP/USD or GBP/JPY (BEST)..etc
2.Trading Hour: You have to wait for the bars to get past the red box before you place an order at 10.30-21.00 WIB (GMT +7) in TF :30 Minute
3.Only 1 Buy & 1 Sell
4.No More Than 5-10% Equity each open trade
5.Minimum Take Profit = +10 pips for GU or GJ
Pips protect, secure + 10 pips when your running profit +30
Trailing Stop 15 pips (optional)
6. You can use Pending Order : TP 30 ans SL 30 , Buy and Sell at Green Area After past the Box. But Recommended If You use instant execution.
7. How To Entry:
Buy WHEN :
1.the price enter Upper Box Green Area After past the red Box…………….OK!
2.EMA 5 (red line) Upper EMA 13 (yellow line)………OK!
3.RSI >55……………………OK!
*1,2,3……OK!…..BUY…..
SellWHEN :
1.the price enter Bottom Box Green Area After past the red box………..OK!
2.EMA 5 (red line) Below EMA 13 (yellow line)……OK!
3.RSI <45……….ok!……….SELL

You should use this strategy in DEMO ACCOUT first……
and in LIVE ACCOUNT………..HAVE A NICE PIPS…………………..
Panca-Eagle Break Out Forex Indicator

Click the image to open in full size.


Free Daily Signal Everyday….For Live Time….
Free……Free……Free…..Forex Indicator Signal Free

“Panca-Eagle Break Out Strategy

This is without doubt,
One of The very Best chart set up pattern
You’ll ever see……….
Copy this indicator, and open Program File…Meta Trader….Expert Folder…in Indicator And Paste …

And Open Your Meta Trader…..Click..Insert….Indicator…. .Custom….and then Click…panca-eagle break out……….You’ll see in chart…this strategy like a picture a bove….
And then add indikator Moving Average (exponential) periode 5 with red color line and Moving Average (exponential) periode 13 with yellow collor line. Last…add indicator RSI…input..45 and 55….that’s ALL……..

PANCA EAGLE BREAKOUT SYSTEM