Forex Information

The foreign exchange market or forex for short is a trillion dollar business that encompasses the trading of any and all the world’s currencies. Individuals who trade in the forex market usually do so through a trained broker or other professional. You must be kept up to date on forex information in order to trade in the forex market. This not only includes such things as the value of a particular currency, but you must also be kept well informed of the world’s economic, political, and environmental news. For example, unlike the stock market where you may have insider trading or secrets, there is very little of this in the forex marketplace. This is because the forex is a reactive marketplace that gets its strength from real cash flows and also the flow of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), interest rates, budgets, and trade deficits. Many of these things, especially cash flows, can be a result of a natural disaster, gas prices, and can even be seasonal such as during December when people tend to spend more because they are purchasing Christmas presents. Therefore, since the forex is so reactive, no one can truly know what will happen in the forex marketplace, no matter how seasoned they have become at forex forecasting.

Of course, keeping up with the entire world’s political, economic, and environmental news can be taxing since there are only so many hours in a day. You could attempt to keep up with this and other forex information on your own, but you would have to read a lot of newspapers and watch the news a lot. A simpler way to stay up to date on forex information is through websites that are devoted to forex information. There are a variety of forex information sites on the web, and your level of forex expertise will ultimately determine which forex information sites you visit.

When you are starting out in the forex marketplace, you should look for a site that provides forex information such as up-to-the minute headlines, as well as education tools. One of the best sites for forex information is Forex Knowledge.com (www.forexknowledge.com). Obviously, one of the draws to this site is the up-to-the-minute news and the excellent charts, but there is also a knowledge section that allows visitors to learn about the forex market, how to get started, history of the forex, and a forex introduction. Below the educational section, visitors will find information on the fundamentals of the forex market. This section contains information on the PIP, how to read prices, country currency codes, and there is even a glossary of forex terms. Visitors will also find forex trading tools that include articles on technical analysis, market awareness, and trading strategies. For the seasoned forex investor who only needs the up-to-date news, charts, and quotes, the website Forex Markets.com (www.forex-markets.com) will be useful. While the forex information found at this site will prove indispensable, the chat forum, where each day hundreds of messages are posted, will prove equally as useful. This allows users to not only obtain forex information from the website but also from colleagues. The forum is open to all users, and registration to use the service is free. Prior to participating in the chat forum, users must keep in mind that the chat forum is not a chat room and should not be treated as such.

Trading in the forex can be quite lucrative if you know and understand what you are trying to accomplish. No matter what your intentions are, forex information is vital to your success. If you are just getting started in the forex marketplace, it would be smart to take it slow and learn about the forex as well as how to interpret and apply forex information.

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Economic Calendars For Forex Traders

Links to good economic calendars for the forex market.

It is best to compare the figures on a few calendars as substantial differences can occur in consensus.

Daily FX Economic Calendar

Forex News

Today FX

Forex Factory

The London Forex Blog

You need technical analysis and fundamentals to trade currencies profitably.There is a need to understand the basics of economics so you can think for yourself and learn who the market participants are and which reports and statements drive the market.

It is important to know exactly when these announcements will be made so you can take advantage of the big moves that follow or avoid losing through a sudden surprise reaction.Economic calendars show in advance what time the economic data release will take place.Before a trade is taken, we look at an economic calendar for opportunities and threats.

If traders are expecting an interest rate to rise and it does,there usually will not be much of a movement because the information will already have been discounted by the market.However, if the interest rate does not rise as expected, then the market may react violently.

Teknik Forex | Elliott Wave

Hari ini saya akan menyentuh mengenai teknik forex yang selalu digunakan oleh trader profesional dan diguna pakai sejak bertahun-tahun dahulu iaitu sejak tahun 1920an yang diasaskan oleh Ralph Nelson Elliott.

Teori Elliott Wave ini mempunyai corak asas yang standard 5 - 3 Wave. 5 wave iaitu 1-2-3-4-5 di panggil sebagai impulse wave, manakala 3 wave iaitu A-B-C di panggil sebagai corrective wave.

Untuk menggunakan teknik Elliott Wave ini, terdapat beberapa syarat (rule) yang perlu di patuhi sewaktu meletakkan plot-plot atau titik-titik 12345-ABC ini. Syarat-syarat tersebut ialah :

1. Wave 2 mestilah ‘retrace’ tidak lebih daripada 100% dan sebaik-baiknya kurang daripada 80%.
2. Wave 3 pula mestilah lebih panjang dari Wave 1 dan Wave 5 (tidak pendek).
3. Wave 4 mestilah tidak ‘retrace’ sehingga memasuki ruang Wave 1.
4. Wave B mestilah ‘retrace’ kurang daripada 100% daripada Wave A.
5. Wave C mestilah sama atau lebih panjang dari Wave A.

Saya tahu, pasti anda keliru dengan syarat-syarat (rule) yang saya nyatakan di atas. Tanpa bantuan gambarajah, sudah tentu anda tidak nampak dengan jelas. Oleh itu, saya galakkan anda melayari website ini untuk mengetahui dengan lebih mendalam mengenai teknik Elliott Wave.

http://www.babypips.com/school/the_53_wave_patterns.html; dan

http://www.elliottwave.com/

Perlu saya ingatkan disini bahawa, teknik Elliott Wave ini mempunyai pelbagai paten atau corak. Namun, kesemuanya menepati syarat-syarat (rule) di atas. Ketepatan teknik Elliott Wave ini adalah sebanyak 90%-95% kerana teknik ini mengikut trend dan tidak seperti Robot EA yang adakalanya ia trade tidak mengikut trend (lawan arah) yang menyebabkan kerugian.

Saya sendiri telah belajar menggunakan teknik Elliott Wave ini. Walaupun agak leceh kerana kita perlu meletakkan plot-plot atau menentukan wave yang tepat sebelum boleh memasuki pasaran, namun cara ini lebih selamat berbanding teknik yang lain.

Memiliki sebuah ebook mengenai teknik Elliott Wave ini dalam versi Inggeris yang bertajuk “Practical Elliott Wave Trading Strategies”. Ebook ini banyak membantu memahami dengan lebih mendalam mengenai cara menggunakan Elliott Wave dan juga menghasilkan ‘profit’ serta meminimumkan kerugian.

Quick Tips for Forex Trading Success

#13: Back-test, but be logical. Back-testing a given strategy can prove priceless when done correctly, but remember to take the results with a grain of salt. Be especially wary of trade results shown on websites claiming astronomical gains since most of these results simply are not attainable under live market conditions for many reasons.

#12: Always analyze similar pairs in the forex market before placing any trade. Similar pairs can be defined as any tradable currency pair containing 1 of the 2 currencies you are about to trade. For example, by looking at no less than 4 US Dollar pairs before trading, one can determine if the pair will be moving based mostly on the US Dollar or the opposing currency. This can easily be done with the Japanese Yen and others as well.

#11: Be wary of trade ideas coming from other individuals or groups in the many online trading forums, blogs, or chat rooms. Only evaluate trade recommendations from trusted parties who have a proven track record of success. Remember this is your business, and to have a consistently profitable business, you need to execute reproducible trades based on your own strategies and ideals. Don’t build your house on sandy soil; lay a good foundation of continuing education and the rewards will come many times over.

#10: Longer-term charts (ie. monthly, weekly, daily) have logarithmically more importance upon technical analysis than shorter-term charts (ie. 1 minute, 5 minute, 15 minute). For example, a support or resistance level on a daily chart will hold much more importance than a similar line than a 5 minute chart. Most reputable traders will recommend trading on longer term charts, especially for those who are new to trading or have limited time to trade due to other commitments. Find your comfort zone and stick with it until you become consistent; even a slight edge in this market can set you free financially.

#9: Do not use any trading robots, expert advisors, or other “black box” automated trading software until you learn how to trade on your own first. Educating yourself is the key to success; deep roots will equal a tall tree that can weather any storm.

#8: Trade with a friend, group, partner, or mentor when you begin your journey of learning the forex market. Many of the glamorous ideologies of forex traders showered in riches come from high-risk, difficult to reproduce strategies. The way to often become most profitable in this market is to have consistency, be disciplined, and to repeat this over and over and over again. Forex trading, done properly, is not intended to be flashy.

#7: Be sure to use a forex broker with great service and support, along with low spreads. With the recent regulations we are much more protected against possible broker-related issues, but many traders are still paying much higher spreads than average when placing trades. Do your research on forex brokers to analyze not only the safe, financially sound companies, but also those that allow the lowest fees. Paying the bid/ask spread in the forex market is just one of the costs of doing business, but with the extreme level of competition in today’s marketplace there is no need to accept paying even 1 pip more than you should elsewhere.

#6: Have a backup power supply and internet access available at all times when you are trading. This can be as simple as a battery-powered laptop with a wireless access card. Don’t rely solely on the phone number of your broker as if there is a company-related trading issue; their lines will likely be slammed busy. Bottom line: be sure to have some redundancy incorporated into your trading plan; treat this like a true business and it will reward you like one.

#5: Break your trade order into 2 or 3 smaller orders to give yourself more control, both actual and psychological. As most forex brokers do not charge commissions to trade this market, they earn their fees through the bid/ask spread; you have no extra cost of placing 3 small orders rather than 1 single large one. Doing this allows you to place tighter stops on some orders, while adjusting the profit taking on others. Closing part of an order will give the same effect, but by having a few live at the same time, it is easier psychologically to set them and let them run.

#4: Trading profit comes from 1/3 psychology, 1/3 money management, and 1/3 trading strategy. It’s easy to get caught up in the “next best thing” or the potential of finding a “holy grail” system, but remember that most of your profits come from learning the things that are not quite as exciting. Trading psychology and money management are critical to any success in the forex market; without them you will be grouped with the 95% of those who lose their capital time and time again. Money management is the key to unleashing potential for compounding profits; it is an absolute necessity to learn. Do your research on the most highly coveted trading psychology texts and dig in ASAP.

#3: Be aware of world news releases. Even if you prefer to not trade news events, be certain to know when the major events are planned to take place. As a second line of asset protection to your business, a good live news feed is also recommended when you are trading. Knowing what is going on in the world is one of the most critical keys to forex trading success; without this knowledge, your chances of success are limited.

#2: Always use a well planned stop loss when placing any trade and never, ever, move it further from your entry point for any reason. Although it is a simple rule to put on paper, it’s often difficult to follow…always follow this rule.

#1: Always trade any new strategy in a demo account before going live in a real money account. Many traders simply become gamblers by placing trades live without the proper testing and education necessary to place the odds in their favor. It is also all too common for traders to have excellent results in a demo account or with paper trading, then lose all their capital once they go live in a real money account. Be realistic and treat your demo trades as real funds; that is the only way for a demo account to work over time. If you begin to have a winning pattern in the demo account, be 100% certain to follow all the rules exactly in your live account. Often, a good transition is to begin with a demo account, then go to a live mini or micro account where very little capital is risked before trading your regular sized account. Many times one can make the transition in trading psychology from demo to live when taking the added step of testing the proven system by trading very small lot sizes first.

Although these few trading “nuggets” are only the tip of the iceberg, I hope that they can pique your interest enough to warrant further research and attention. I wish you the best in your trading!

8 jul

GBPUSD Daily Forecast

The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.6115 and closed at 1.6138. Since the trendline support violated to the downside ( see the chart below) I prefer downside scenario for this week. The bias is bearish in nearest term but we have important support around 1.6100. Clear break below that area should trigger further bearish momentum towards 1.5950 area. Immediate resistance at 1.6180. Break above that area should lead us back into no trading zone.