I only trader part time. This blog finally becoming reference forex for me, may even you. It also become field copy paste any met in website other people. Do not be shy do not shy can contact I to trade mind. Any even come we joint with what which good..
Listen to Quran

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Prestasi Acc Marketiva







Marketiva adalah salah satu platform utk yang mahu belajar asas forex tanpa modal. Kita dpt 5US percuma utk live dan 10 ribu utk acc demo. Berikut gambar contoh prestasi acc saya utk renungan dan panduan kepada saya sendiri utk menghadapi tahun baru 2010. Jika anda menggunakan kuantiti bernilai 1 dgn modal 2.50 us maka susah utk mendpt pangkat MC. Dengan cara itu anda dpt belajar berurus niaga forex dgn live tanpa rasa takut. Bila nak kaya? Jawapan = bukan utk kaya tapi utk belajar 'live'. Dah rasa confiden dan untun pip yg stabil , maka anda bolehlah memperbesarkan kuantiti. Sikit sikit lama lama jadi bukit ;))



Friday, December 4, 2009

Hari Ini Punya Hasil


Kalau orang tanya macamana kau buat semua post untung? Saya hanya katakan margin saya terlalu 'besar'. Melihat TF1H sebagai panduan trend utama dan masuk post di TF5. Masukkan TP tanpa SL dan tunggu..... Jangan buat macam ini jika margin anda tidak dpt menempuh gelombang ratusan pip GU.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Teknik Minggu Ini

Malas nak tulis, cuma gambar sahaja
sambung lagi urusniaga = untung lagi

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Maketiva

Urus niaga pagi pagi 181109 menggunakan flatfom Marketiva.

Monday, November 16, 2009

Pengalaman Guru Terbaaik





Tingal tidak lama lagi tahun 2009 akan meninggalkan kita, dan tahun 2010 akan tiba. Hasil trading forex selama 2009 tidaklah begitu banyak untung dan rugi juga tidak seberapa = duduk ditahap sama.
Tapi yang paling menarik kita dpat pengalaman trading tidak mudah diperolehi dari mana2. Hari ini pergerakkan graf tidak sama dgn esok, lusa dan seterusnya. Maknanya hanya pengalaman saja yg dpt memudahkan tindakan buy sell sesuatu situasi. Dari pengalaman juga kerugian dpat dikurangkan.
Indicator yg digunakan juga berkait rapat dgn pengalaman menggunakannya. Makin lama anda guna makin mahir. Tip - bukan silap indicator tapi silap diri sendiri.

Sunday, October 18, 2009

TIPS PENTING SEBAGAI TRADER FOREX

Tip ini bukan untuk 1 hari = tapi mungkin untuk selama-lamanya. Anda langgar petua dari tip ini maka anda mencari nahas.

1. Guna 10-20% sahaja dari margin/modal untuk trading dalam satu-satu masa. (lagi sedikit anda lagi selamat)

2. Tentukan risiko kerugian dengan meletakkan Stoploss bagi setiap posisi yang kita buka.

3. Tetapkan sasaran dan elakkan sikap terlalu optimistic/greddy. Ambil profit apabila sasaran mengena(disiplin)
atau sekurang-kurangnya alihkan stoploss pada kedudukan in-profit(trailing stop).

4. Jika anda ragu-ragu jangan masuk market. Ada kalanya tidak berbuat apa-apa adalah jalan yang terbaik. Sila ambil masa untuk membuat keputusan. (ramai trader kalah bab "kesabaran menunggu peluang")

5. Trading berdasarkan apa yang anda lihat bukan apa yang anda fikir. (sila tentukan TimeFrame anda).

6. Jika gaya trading anda lebih kepada jangka pendek, tutup sebarang open trade sejurus sebelum berita ekonomi utama (news/market event).

7. Seelok-eloknya ambil satu atau dua pasang matawang dahulu untuk anda kuasai.
Saya suka pilih GBP/USD kerana pergerakannya hampir 100 pips setiap hari.

8. Jangan lupa tutup trading pada lewat hari Jumaat.Seeloknya jangan ada open trade pada hari cuti forex kecuali anda dalam post untung yang sudah Stoploss Profit. Pengalaman saya hari Isnin dan Jumaat pergerakkan market lebih kepada sideway.

9. Forex can make you win fast but it also can make you loss faster!
Sentiasa belajar,sabar dan berdisiplin dalam Forex.

TEKNIK + SABAR + DISIPLIN = KEJAYAAN

90 Ke 95% Trader Forex Selalunya Gagal.

Sasaran anda adalah untuk berada dalam kelompok 5% tu
dengan memastikan kadar keuntungan anda lebih banyak dari kadar kerugian.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Rahmat berkat

MANUSIA berusaha siang malam malam mencari rezeki termasuk ada yang menggadai nyawa, tetapi mengapa ia tidak memberikan jaminan kebahagiaan?

Mengapa rumah besar dan megah, tetapi masih tidak gembira? Isteri cantik, suami tampan, tetapi rumah tangga masih bertaburan!
Begitu juga, ilmu yang luas melaut mengapa tidak mampu mengangkat darjat, malah menghina diri?

Bahkan mereka bermati-matian mencari kebahagiaan dan ketenteraman, sedangkan apa yang diperoleh ialah masalah dan masalah. Apa sebabnya?

Antara sebabnya ialah apa yang mereka memiliki itu tidak berkat. Rasulullah s.a.w mendoakan sahabatnya di majlis perkahwinan semoga rumah tangga berkat.

Malah, supaya dapat kaya, kekayaan yang berkat, sahabat yang ada ilmu berdoa ilmu berkat.

Berkat ialah pelbagai guna, bermanfaat di dunia dan akhirat. Kita tidak hanya boleh berbangga dengan apa yang kita miliki, tetapi yang patut dibanggakan ialah keberkatan menerima nikmat.

Jadi, bukannya kita patut takut tidak memiliki sesuatu, tetapi harus takut sesuatu yang dimiliki tidak berkat.

Berkat maknanya ialah subur, dengan kebaikan, permo honannya diterima dan kebahagiaan. Jadi, keberkatan mem bawa ke syurga sebaliknya, tanpa berkat kita dibawa ke neraka.

Doa yang kita pinta ketika makan berbunyi: “Wahai Tu hanku berkatilah apa yang Engkau berikan pada kami ini dan selamatkanlah daripada api neraka.”

Maknanya makanan yang tidak berkat walaupun sesuap boleh bawa ke neraka. Apa lagi kalau harta bertimbun, apa lagi ilmu melaut. Begitu juga dengan deretan gelaran.

Menurut sejarah, Umar Abdul Aziz ketika menjalankan tugas pada malam hari di Baitulmal tiba-tiba anaknya mengetuk pintu.

Apabila dilihat anaknya yang ingin bertanya mengenai urusan rumah tangga, beliau terus memadamkan lampu.

Si anak bertanya: “Kenapa ayah padamkan lampu.”

Jawab Umar: “Kerana minyak lampu ini milik negara. Ia tidak layak untuk urusan peribadi.”

Inilah contoh keberkatan dalam erti kata yang sebenar. Keberkatan meliputi soal wajib, sunat, harus, makruh dan haram.

Wajib, mesti buat dan jika buat dapat pahala besar tetapi jika tidak buat dosa besar. Perkara yang harus diberikan pilihan, yang makruh patut dijauhi manakala yang haram mesti dijauhi.

Kunci kebahagiaan ialah sederhana di samping pengurusan yang pintar dan segala aktiviti mesti sesuai dengan syariat Allah s.w.t.
MANUSIA berusaha siang malam malam mencari rezeki termasuk ada yang menggadai nyawa, tetapi mengapa ia tidak memberikan jaminan kebahagiaan?

Mengapa rumah besar dan megah, tetapi masih tidak gembira? Isteri cantik, suami tampan, tetapi rumah tangga masih bertaburan!

Contoh kecil yang dianggap remeh manusia hari ini ialah waktu solat. Mencari harta jangan sampai melupakan solat, mencari harta jangan sampai lupa kepada halal haram.

Mencari untung patut dikerjakan sebanyak mungkin, tetapi apalah ertinya keuntungan jika membabitkan soal haram yang dimurkai Allah.

Pelajar sebagai contoh, apalah ertinya berjaga malam, bersengkang mata, belajar dan mengulangkaji, tetapi esoknya tidak mengerjakan solat Subuh.

Ilmu yang tidak berkat ialah ilmu yang ada di akal, ilmu dalam bentuk maklumat dan pengetahuan, tidak menjadi nur dan petunjuk.

Apabila ilmu tidak berkat, ia hanya boleh berhujah, tetapi tidak boleh merubah mereka.

Friday, July 24, 2009

Forex Information

The foreign exchange market or forex for short is a trillion dollar business that encompasses the trading of any and all the world’s currencies. Individuals who trade in the forex market usually do so through a trained broker or other professional. You must be kept up to date on forex information in order to trade in the forex market. This not only includes such things as the value of a particular currency, but you must also be kept well informed of the world’s economic, political, and environmental news. For example, unlike the stock market where you may have insider trading or secrets, there is very little of this in the forex marketplace. This is because the forex is a reactive marketplace that gets its strength from real cash flows and also the flow of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), interest rates, budgets, and trade deficits. Many of these things, especially cash flows, can be a result of a natural disaster, gas prices, and can even be seasonal such as during December when people tend to spend more because they are purchasing Christmas presents. Therefore, since the forex is so reactive, no one can truly know what will happen in the forex marketplace, no matter how seasoned they have become at forex forecasting.

Of course, keeping up with the entire world’s political, economic, and environmental news can be taxing since there are only so many hours in a day. You could attempt to keep up with this and other forex information on your own, but you would have to read a lot of newspapers and watch the news a lot. A simpler way to stay up to date on forex information is through websites that are devoted to forex information. There are a variety of forex information sites on the web, and your level of forex expertise will ultimately determine which forex information sites you visit.

When you are starting out in the forex marketplace, you should look for a site that provides forex information such as up-to-the minute headlines, as well as education tools. One of the best sites for forex information is Forex Knowledge.com (www.forexknowledge.com). Obviously, one of the draws to this site is the up-to-the-minute news and the excellent charts, but there is also a knowledge section that allows visitors to learn about the forex market, how to get started, history of the forex, and a forex introduction. Below the educational section, visitors will find information on the fundamentals of the forex market. This section contains information on the PIP, how to read prices, country currency codes, and there is even a glossary of forex terms. Visitors will also find forex trading tools that include articles on technical analysis, market awareness, and trading strategies. For the seasoned forex investor who only needs the up-to-date news, charts, and quotes, the website Forex Markets.com (www.forex-markets.com) will be useful. While the forex information found at this site will prove indispensable, the chat forum, where each day hundreds of messages are posted, will prove equally as useful. This allows users to not only obtain forex information from the website but also from colleagues. The forum is open to all users, and registration to use the service is free. Prior to participating in the chat forum, users must keep in mind that the chat forum is not a chat room and should not be treated as such.

Trading in the forex can be quite lucrative if you know and understand what you are trying to accomplish. No matter what your intentions are, forex information is vital to your success. If you are just getting started in the forex marketplace, it would be smart to take it slow and learn about the forex as well as how to interpret and apply forex information.

Article written by Forex Information and Forex Trading Strategy . Article is subject to Forex
Information
’s standard terms of use.
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Dapatkan Pek Permulaan (Starter Pack) atau Tukar 8pax anda kepada BLUE (sila lihat arahan di bawah)..

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Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Economic Calendars For Forex Traders

Links to good economic calendars for the forex market.

It is best to compare the figures on a few calendars as substantial differences can occur in consensus.

Daily FX Economic Calendar

Forex News

Today FX

Forex Factory

The London Forex Blog

You need technical analysis and fundamentals to trade currencies profitably.There is a need to understand the basics of economics so you can think for yourself and learn who the market participants are and which reports and statements drive the market.

It is important to know exactly when these announcements will be made so you can take advantage of the big moves that follow or avoid losing through a sudden surprise reaction.Economic calendars show in advance what time the economic data release will take place.Before a trade is taken, we look at an economic calendar for opportunities and threats.

If traders are expecting an interest rate to rise and it does,there usually will not be much of a movement because the information will already have been discounted by the market.However, if the interest rate does not rise as expected, then the market may react violently.

Monday, July 20, 2009

Teknik Forex | Elliott Wave

Hari ini saya akan menyentuh mengenai teknik forex yang selalu digunakan oleh trader profesional dan diguna pakai sejak bertahun-tahun dahulu iaitu sejak tahun 1920an yang diasaskan oleh Ralph Nelson Elliott.

Teori Elliott Wave ini mempunyai corak asas yang standard 5 - 3 Wave. 5 wave iaitu 1-2-3-4-5 di panggil sebagai impulse wave, manakala 3 wave iaitu A-B-C di panggil sebagai corrective wave.

Untuk menggunakan teknik Elliott Wave ini, terdapat beberapa syarat (rule) yang perlu di patuhi sewaktu meletakkan plot-plot atau titik-titik 12345-ABC ini. Syarat-syarat tersebut ialah :

  1. Wave 2 mestilah ‘retrace’ tidak lebih daripada 100% dan sebaik-baiknya kurang daripada 80%.
  2. Wave 3 pula mestilah lebih panjang dari Wave 1 dan Wave 5 (tidak pendek).
  3. Wave 4 mestilah tidak ‘retrace’ sehingga memasuki ruang Wave 1.
  4. Wave B mestilah ‘retrace’ kurang daripada 100% daripada Wave A.
  5. Wave C mestilah sama atau lebih panjang dari Wave A.

Saya tahu, pasti anda keliru dengan syarat-syarat (rule) yang saya nyatakan di atas. Tanpa bantuan gambarajah, sudah tentu anda tidak nampak dengan jelas. Oleh itu, saya galakkan anda melayari website ini untuk mengetahui dengan lebih mendalam mengenai teknik Elliott Wave.

http://www.babypips.com/school/the_53_wave_patterns.html; dan

http://www.elliottwave.com/

Perlu saya ingatkan disini bahawa, teknik Elliott Wave ini mempunyai pelbagai paten atau corak. Namun, kesemuanya menepati syarat-syarat (rule) di atas. Ketepatan teknik Elliott Wave ini adalah sebanyak 90%-95% kerana teknik ini mengikut trend dan tidak seperti Robot EA yang adakalanya ia trade tidak mengikut trend (lawan arah) yang menyebabkan kerugian.

Saya sendiri telah belajar menggunakan teknik Elliott Wave ini. Walaupun agak leceh kerana kita perlu meletakkan plot-plot atau menentukan wave yang tepat sebelum boleh memasuki pasaran, namun cara ini lebih selamat berbanding teknik yang lain.

Memiliki sebuah ebook mengenai teknik Elliott Wave ini dalam versi Inggeris yang bertajuk “Practical Elliott Wave Trading Strategies”. Ebook ini banyak membantu memahami dengan lebih mendalam mengenai cara menggunakan Elliott Wave dan juga menghasilkan ‘profit’ serta meminimumkan kerugian.

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Quick Tips for Forex Trading Success

#13: Back-test, but be logical. Back-testing a given strategy can prove priceless when done correctly, but remember to take the results with a grain of salt. Be especially wary of trade results shown on websites claiming astronomical gains since most of these results simply are not attainable under live market conditions for many reasons.

#12: Always analyze similar pairs in the forex market before placing any trade. Similar pairs can be defined as any tradable currency pair containing 1 of the 2 currencies you are about to trade. For example, by looking at no less than 4 US Dollar pairs before trading, one can determine if the pair will be moving based mostly on the US Dollar or the opposing currency. This can easily be done with the Japanese Yen and others as well.

#11: Be wary of trade ideas coming from other individuals or groups in the many online trading forums, blogs, or chat rooms. Only evaluate trade recommendations from trusted parties who have a proven track record of success. Remember this is your business, and to have a consistently profitable business, you need to execute reproducible trades based on your own strategies and ideals. Don’t build your house on sandy soil; lay a good foundation of continuing education and the rewards will come many times over.

#10: Longer-term charts (ie. monthly, weekly, daily) have logarithmically more importance upon technical analysis than shorter-term charts (ie. 1 minute, 5 minute, 15 minute). For example, a support or resistance level on a daily chart will hold much more importance than a similar line than a 5 minute chart. Most reputable traders will recommend trading on longer term charts, especially for those who are new to trading or have limited time to trade due to other commitments. Find your comfort zone and stick with it until you become consistent; even a slight edge in this market can set you free financially.

#9: Do not use any trading robots, expert advisors, or other “black box” automated trading software until you learn how to trade on your own first. Educating yourself is the key to success; deep roots will equal a tall tree that can weather any storm.

#8: Trade with a friend, group, partner, or mentor when you begin your journey of learning the forex market. Many of the glamorous ideologies of forex traders showered in riches come from high-risk, difficult to reproduce strategies. The way to often become most profitable in this market is to have consistency, be disciplined, and to repeat this over and over and over again. Forex trading, done properly, is not intended to be flashy.

#7: Be sure to use a forex broker with great service and support, along with low spreads. With the recent regulations we are much more protected against possible broker-related issues, but many traders are still paying much higher spreads than average when placing trades. Do your research on forex brokers to analyze not only the safe, financially sound companies, but also those that allow the lowest fees. Paying the bid/ask spread in the forex market is just one of the costs of doing business, but with the extreme level of competition in today’s marketplace there is no need to accept paying even 1 pip more than you should elsewhere.

#6: Have a backup power supply and internet access available at all times when you are trading. This can be as simple as a battery-powered laptop with a wireless access card. Don’t rely solely on the phone number of your broker as if there is a company-related trading issue; their lines will likely be slammed busy. Bottom line: be sure to have some redundancy incorporated into your trading plan; treat this like a true business and it will reward you like one.

#5: Break your trade order into 2 or 3 smaller orders to give yourself more control, both actual and psychological. As most forex brokers do not charge commissions to trade this market, they earn their fees through the bid/ask spread; you have no extra cost of placing 3 small orders rather than 1 single large one. Doing this allows you to place tighter stops on some orders, while adjusting the profit taking on others. Closing part of an order will give the same effect, but by having a few live at the same time, it is easier psychologically to set them and let them run.

#4: Trading profit comes from 1/3 psychology, 1/3 money management, and 1/3 trading strategy. It’s easy to get caught up in the “next best thing” or the potential of finding a “holy grail” system, but remember that most of your profits come from learning the things that are not quite as exciting. Trading psychology and money management are critical to any success in the forex market; without them you will be grouped with the 95% of those who lose their capital time and time again. Money management is the key to unleashing potential for compounding profits; it is an absolute necessity to learn. Do your research on the most highly coveted trading psychology texts and dig in ASAP.

#3: Be aware of world news releases. Even if you prefer to not trade news events, be certain to know when the major events are planned to take place. As a second line of asset protection to your business, a good live news feed is also recommended when you are trading. Knowing what is going on in the world is one of the most critical keys to forex trading success; without this knowledge, your chances of success are limited.

#2: Always use a well planned stop loss when placing any trade and never, ever, move it further from your entry point for any reason. Although it is a simple rule to put on paper, it’s often difficult to follow…always follow this rule.

#1: Always trade any new strategy in a demo account before going live in a real money account. Many traders simply become gamblers by placing trades live without the proper testing and education necessary to place the odds in their favor. It is also all too common for traders to have excellent results in a demo account or with paper trading, then lose all their capital once they go live in a real money account. Be realistic and treat your demo trades as real funds; that is the only way for a demo account to work over time. If you begin to have a winning pattern in the demo account, be 100% certain to follow all the rules exactly in your live account. Often, a good transition is to begin with a demo account, then go to a live mini or micro account where very little capital is risked before trading your regular sized account. Many times one can make the transition in trading psychology from demo to live when taking the added step of testing the proven system by trading very small lot sizes first.

Although these few trading “nuggets” are only the tip of the iceberg, I hope that they can pique your interest enough to warrant further research and attention. I wish you the best in your trading!

8 jul

GBPUSD Daily Forecast

The GBPUSD had a bearish momentum yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.6115 and closed at 1.6138. Since the trendline support violated to the downside ( see the chart below) I prefer downside scenario for this week. The bias is bearish in nearest term but we have important support around 1.6100. Clear break below that area should trigger further bearish momentum towards 1.5950 area. Immediate resistance at 1.6180. Break above that area should lead us back into no trading zone.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

24 jun

GBPUSD Daily Forecast

The GBPUSD attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.6208 but further bearish momentum was rejected as the pair whipsawed to the upside, topped at 1.6471 and closed at 1.6450. On h4 chart below we can see that this was the case of a false triangle breakdown. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6505/59 area but remains neutral in medium term. CCI just cross the 100 line down on h1 chart so watch out for potential downside rebound testing 1.6350 support area. Break below that area should lead us into no trading zone.

Saturday, June 20, 2009

GU summary

Thursday, June 18, 2009

18 jun

GBPUSD Daily Forecast
The GBPUSD made indecisive market yesterday, formed a Doji formation on daily chart. On h1 chart below we can see that the pair is still trapped in 1.6505 – 1.6215 ranging area. I think we are still in no trading zone and it’s better to keep stay out from the market. Break from the ranging area should give us clearer direction.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

17 jun

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

16 jun

Monday, June 15, 2009

15 jun


GBPUSD Daily Outlook

The GBPUSD also had bearish momentum on Friday. On h4 chart below we can see that the bearish momentum came after price failed to break above 1.6660 area. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.6240 area but remains neutral in medium term and I think it’s not the best time to trade now. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.6475 – 1.6510 area. Initial support at 1.6320. Break below that area should trigger further weakness for Sterling towards 1.6240 area. CCI just cross the 100 line down on daily chart suggesting potential downside pressure.
GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

S1= 1.6307
S2= 1.6187
S3= 1.6042
R1= 1.6572
R2= 1.6717
R3= 1.6837

Sunday, June 14, 2009

14 jun



javascript:void(0)

Friday, June 12, 2009

12 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD had significant bullish momentum yesterday. The pair topped at 1.6619 and closed at 1.6589. The bias is bullish in nearest term but we seem to have important resistance around1.6660 area. Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum towards 1.6800 area. CCI just cross the 100 line down on h1 chart suggesting a potential minor downside pullback testing 1.6530 and 1.6475 support area.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.6412
  • S2= 1.6235
  • S3= 1.6132
  • R1= 1.6692
  • R2= 1.6795
  • R3= 1.6972

Thursday, June 11, 2009

11 jun


GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD attempted to continued it’s bullish momentum yesterday. The pair topped at 1.6471 but the bullish power seemed limited as the pair closed lower at 1.6356. The bias is neutral in nearest term but bullish scenario in medium term remains intact. Immediate support is seen at 1.6315 followed by 1.6215. Initial resistance at 1.6471 (yesterday’s high) Break above that area should trigger further bullish momentum retesting 1.6660 area.CCI in neutral area on h1 chart. 

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

10 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The 
GBPUSD also had bullish momentum yesterday. On h4 chart below we can see that the trendline support and 1.5790area provided strong support area for medium term. The minor bearish channel has been violated to the upside suggesting potential bullish outlook testing 1.6660 (June 03 high) area in medium term. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.6435. However CCI just cross the 100 line down on h1 chart so watch out for potential downside pressure testing 1.6230 support area. Break below that area could lead us into no trading zone. Be very patient at this phase.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.6071
  • S2= 1.5840
  • S3= 1.5696
  • R1= 1.6446
  • R2= 1.6590
  • R3= 1.6821

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

9 jun

GBPUSD Outlook

The GBPUSD also attempt to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.5800 but closed higher at 1.6043. On h1 chart below we can see that support at 1.5790 area did a good job preventing the pair from further bearish attack. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate resistance is seen at 1.6103 (yesterday’s high). Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum towards 1.6240 area. CCI in neutral area on both h4 and daily chart.

Sunday, June 7, 2009

6 jun

GBPUSD Outlook

The GBPUSD had significant bearish momentum yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.5940 and closed at 1.5973. On weekly chart below, we can see that this week movement formed a “shooting star” candlestick pattern which technically a bearish formation. We also can see that the upper shadow of the “shooting star” ended at important (strong) resistance around 1.6670 area (June 03rd 2009 and November 30th 2008 highs) before slightly fell to the downside. At the same time, weekly CCI in overbought area and heading down suggesting a potential downside pressure. For the upcoming week, any consistent movement below 1.5950 area ( 23.6% Fibo retracement of 1.3886 – 1.6660) should support the bearish scenario and trigger further bearish momentum towards 1.5520 area.

STRATEGI BREAKOUT

X-EMAs Breakout Strategy ©
Oleh Hj. Azriy Bin Hj. Abdullah Saghir A.M.N.
Click to enlarge
Rajah 2-01 : Contoh Tetingkap GBPJPY, H1
4 Candles Breakout Strategy
(Strategi ini sesuai digunakan sepanjang hari dari 8.00 pagi hingga 12.00 malam.)

Perhatikan KOTAK MERAH pada TF H1 candle 00:00 hingga 03:00. Ini merupakan tempoh 4 candle permulaan dalam pasaran Forex yang bersesuaian dengan Outbreak Tokyo Open.
Tinggi kotak ini merupakan julat (market range) bagi tempoh ini. Jika market sudah rancak, tinggilah julat ini, jika tidak, rendahlah julatnya. 

Latar belakang julat ini sudah diwarnakan biru muda (kita namakan ZON BIRU) sehingga candle 19:00 (12.00 malam), iaitu waktu sesuai untuk para trader di Malaysia pergi beradu. Selepas 12 malam, tidurlah dengan hati gembira selepas seharian memorex. 

Bahagian atas ZON BIRU merupakan BUY ZONE dan bahagian bawah SELL ZONE.
Sebelah atas dan bawah ZON BIRU ada garisan biru tua ofset 1 pip bagi memudahkan setting PRICE dan STOP LOSS. Lakukan ujian beberapa kali, jika sesuai dengan ofset ini teruskan, ada juga cadangan offset 5 atau 10 pips.... uji,  uji,  uji...

Tugas anda setiap hari bermula pada 8.00 pagi hingga 12.00 malam, 5 hari seminggu.
 
1.     Perhatikan candle di dalam ZON BIRU samda sesuai dilakukan Pending Order atau tidak. Jika sesuai, teruskan dengan langkah 2. Jika tidak, ikut arahan dalam Bab 3.   
2.     Apabila candle 03:45 TF M15 selesai, iaitu pada 9.01 pagi, setkan 2 Pending Order 
        a.    Pending Order 1 – BUY STOP:
                i.      Price :            1 pip di atas ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                ii.     Stop Loss :      1 pip di bawah ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                iii.    Take Profit :   
                        Jika julat ZON BIRU kecil, letakkan TP yang besar  100 - 200 pips.
                        Jika julat ZON BIRU besar, letakkan TP yang kecil  80 - 100pips
                        Jika julat ZON BIRU terlalu besar, JANGAN LETAK Pending Order.
                        Jika nak trade tanpa tekanan, letak 20 - 30 pips saja. 
                        Setiap kali masuk, sekejap je dah close. Kadang-kadang tak sempat tengok.
        b.    Pending Order 2 – SELL STOP:
                i.      Price :            1 pip di bawah ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                ii.     Stop Loss :      1 pip di atas ZON BIRU  (boleh juga 5 atau 10 pips)
                iii.    Take Profit :    sama seperti di atas
                iv.    Semuanya cadangan je!! – sila buat ujian dan sesuaikan. 
                        Scroll balik Metatrader anda dan check !!!
                v.     Test, Test, & Test…. 
 
3.    Jika sudah masuk trade awal, tutup sebelum 1.00 ptg 
4.    Jika belum masuk trade sehingga 1.00 ptg, boleh tunggu atau batalkan semua order.

Waktu rehat 1.00 hingga 3.00 ptg

Masuk pejabat sebelum 3.00 ptg

Jika Pending Order pagi tadi masih ada, tunggu sajalah.
Jika Order pagi tadi sudah ditutup, 
1.    Klik pada Window “London GBPJPY Breakout Strategy” (jika disediakan)
2.    Perhatikan candle-candle di dalam ZON BIRU sama ada sesuai dilakukan Pending Order atau tidak. Jika sesuai, teruskan dengan langkah 3. Jika tidak, ikut arahan dalam Bab 3.   
3.    Apabila candle 09:45 TF M15 selesai, iaitu pada 3.01 ptg setkan 2 Pending Order sekali lagi seperti Langkah 1 a, b
4.    Jika sudah masuk trade, boleh tutup sebelum 6.45 ptg .
5.    Jika belum masuk trade sehingga 6.45 ptg, boleh tunggu atau batalkan semua order. 

Waktu rehat 7.00 hingga 8.00

Masuk pejabat sebelum jam 8.00 malam

Jika Pending Order petang tadi masih ada, tunggu sajalah.
Jika Order petang tadi sudah ditutup, 
1.    Klik pada Window “New York Early Bird Breakout Strategy”. (jika disediakan)
2.    Perhatikan candle-candle di dalam ZON BIRU sama ada sesuai dilakukan Pending Order atau tidak. Jika sesuai, teruskan dengan langkah 3. Jika tidak, ikut arahan dalam Bab 3.   
3.    Apabila candle 14:45 selesai, pada 8.01 atau pun kemudian, setkan 2 Pending Order sekali lagi seperti Langkah 1 a, b
4.    Masuk trade ke tak masuk ke,  untung ke tak untung ke, tutuplah sebelum 12.00 malam supaya dapat elak swap (ataupun buka akaun Islamic Forex – Swap Free Account)

TUTUP PEJABAT 12.00 malam

PERHATIAN :  
1.    Jika anda tidak selesa dengan penggunaan 3 Window GBPJPY ini, anda boleh kekal guna Window “4 Candles Breakout Strategy” sehingga malam. 

2.    Biasanya lebih tepat breakout jika dipandukan kepada 4 candle sebelum sesuatu market dibuka ATAU boleh dibuat perbandingan. 

3.    Sila lihat 3 gambarajah berikut sekali lagi yang menunjukkan perbezaan apabila kita meenggunakan 3 template berbeza untuk 8.00 pagi, 3.00 petang dan 8.00 malam.


Rajah 2-02


Rajah 2-03


Rajah 2-04

4.    Bila dah kena satu Pending Order, batalkan yang satu lagi.

5.    Selepas dapat profit, boleh masuk semula menggunakan EMAs bersilang.

6.    Bila julat ZON BIRU terlalu besar. 
        a.    Tunggu punya tunggu, atas tak kena, bawah pun tak kena, batalkan semua pending order.
        b.    Gunakan strategi X-EMAs sahaja. 

7.    Jika anda berpuashati dengan 1 trade setiap hari:
a.    Tunggu saja sehingga pending order pagi mengena dan dapat profit/loss.
b.    Tutup komputer, take day off …..  YATB -  You Are The Boss !!

8.    Anda boleh masuk menggunakan Strategy X-EMAs walaupun sudah ada pending order “Breakout Strategy” yang belum kena. 

Situasi TIDAK SESUAI Untuk Pending Order Breakout


1.    Perhatikan Rajah 2-05.
  • Anda masuk pejabat jam 3.00 ptg, baru selesai market reverse (candle merah) semasa Frankfurt Open.
  • Julat ZON BIRU melebihi 160 pips.
  • Jangan letak Pending Order.
  • Enter position menggunakan strategi X-EMAs
Rajah 2-05  Rajah 2-06
         
2.    Perhatikan pula Rajah 2-06
  • Anda masuk pejabat jam 3.00 ptg
  • Ada panah hijau pada candle ke-3, tetapi baru selesai candle merah.
  • Julat ZON BIRU menghampiri 200 pips.
  • Jangan letak Pending Order.  
  • Enter position menggunakan strategi X-EMAs

STRATEGI X-EMAS

Strategi X-EMAs atau EMAs Bersilang menggunakan 5EMA dan 6EMA yang bersilang dan 20EMA sebagai penanda trend. Strategi ini boleh diguna sepanjang hari.
ENTRY

1. Buka tetingkap time frame M15.
a. Tunggu 5EMA bersilang dengan 6EMA pada time frame M15.
b. Bila ada persilangan, alarm dibunyikan, mesej diberi dan arah persilangan ditunjukkan dengan arah panah MERAH ke bawah / HIJAU ke atas.
c. Lukis satu garisan menegak (vertical line) pada candle yang ada arah panah tadi.
Click to enlarge
Rajah 3-01
2. Tukar ke time frame H1.
a. Sepatutnya 5EMA juga bersilang dengan 6EMA.
b. Ataupun mungkin sudah ada persilangan sebelum ini. Arah panah/warna yang sama.
c. Pastikan !! Confirmed !!
d. Jika TIADA PERSILANGAN, JANGAN MASUK !!
e. Jika ada persilangan boleh diteruskan.

Click to enlarge
Rajah 3-02
3. Tukar ke time frame M15
a. Jika arah panah ke bawah (MERAH),
b. Masuk trade SELL dengan beberapa pips DI BAWAH candle yang ditanda.
c. Jika arah panah ke atas (HIJAU),
d. Masuk trade BUY dengan beberapa pips DI ATAS candle yang ditanda.

Rajah 3-03
4. Gambarajah di atas menunjukkan situasi yang ideal untuk Entry Position BUY
  1. Tanda panah Hijau
  2. Keadaan bar graf Accelerator Meter
  3. Susunan warna EMA, dan
  4. Kedudukan candle berbanding line EMA Hijau

Rajah 3-04
5. Gambarajah di atas menunjukkan situasi yang ideal untuk Entry Position SELL
  1. Tanda panah Merah
  2. Keadaan bar graf Accelerator Meter yang kecil
  3. Susunan warna EMA, dan
  4. Kedudukan candle berbanding line EMA Hijau

Rajah 3-05
6. Rajah di atas menunjukkan keadaan tidak sesuai untuk Enter SELL (panah merah), tetapi sesuai untuk Enter BUY (panah hijau). Semasa panah merah, 20EMA berada jauh di bawah 5EMA dan 6EMA. Lazimnya bila EMA berat di bawah, ia akan masih terus menolak ke atas (BUY).

7. Sebagai panduan, gunakan supports dan resistants sebagai TAKE PROFIT (TP).
a. Sekiranya dalam posisi SHORT, entry pada PIVOT, maka TP pada S1;
b. Jika entry pada S1, TP pada S2 dan begitulah sebaliknya
c. Sila rujuk gambarajah di bawah dan perhatikan harga bergerak mengikut limitasi S dan R.
Rajah 3-06
STOP LOSS :
Di mana nak letak stop loss ? Soalan cepumas. Berikut panduan kasar yang diberikan:

1. STOP LOSS pula letakkan pada point paling tinggi/rendah 4 candle sebelum posisi diambil (Time frame H1) iaitu 4 jam sebelumnya. Kalau SELL ambil point paling tinggi dan kalau BUY ambil point paling rendah.
2. Atau pun satu kaedah lagi ialah julat KOTAK MERAH candle 00:00 hingga 03:00 (4 candle semuanya) yang menunjukkan range bagi 4 jam pertama hari berkenaan. Berapa pips range semasa tempoh ini boleh digunakan sebagai range SL.
3. Kalau GBPJPY 100 - 120 pips mungkin baru sesuai.

EXIT:

1. Bila berlaku persilangan 5EMA dan 6EMA semula pada TF H1, CLOSE position.
2. Dinasihatkan CLOSE position dalam tempoh 3 candle pada H1 time frame.
3. Sekiranya 5EMA dan 6EMA masih bergerak selari (dengan jarak yang konstant) para trader boleh tunggu sehingga 5EMA menunjukan kecenderongan ke arah 6EMA. Terus EXIT
4. Perhatikan juga trendlines yang terbentuk. Jika HL_1 dan LL_1 berkeadaan selari (parallel) jangan EXIT.
5. Jika HL_1 dan LL_1 menguncup dan berbentuk 3 segi pada TF M15, bolehlah EXIT.

Friday, June 5, 2009

5 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD continued it’s bearish correction yesterday. The pair bottomed at 1.6092 and closed at 1.6172. The pair keep moving lower at the time I wrote this comment, traded around 1.6130. The bias is bearish in nearest term but remains bullish in medium term. I think it’s better to stay away for now. Immediate support is seen at 1.6090 area. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum towards 1.5950. CCI about to cross the -100 line down on hourly chart suggesting a potential downside pressure. Eyes on US Non Farm Payroll data today.

GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.6032
  • S2= 1.5892
  • S3= 1.5693
  • R1= 1.6371
  • R2= 1.6570
  • R3= 1.6710

Thursday, June 4, 2009

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4 jun

GBPUSD Outlook
The Greenback also recovered slightly against Sterling yesterday. On Fibonacci retracement study from bigger point of view of daily chart below (of 1.3886 – 1.6660) we can see that this downside momentum is actually a normal correction movement and should not be a surprise. The bias is bearish in nearest term but remains bullish in medium term. I think it’s better to stay away from the market and wait for further development. Immediate support is seen at 1.6240 and 1.6110 area. CCI just cross the 100 line down on daily chart suggesting a potential downside pressure

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

3 jun

GBPUSD Outlook

The GBPUSD continued it’s bullish momentum yesterday. The pair hit my long target at 1.6290, even higher, topped at 1.6496 and closed at 1.6438. On hourly chart below we have a valid bullish channel indicating bullish scenario. The bias remains bullish in nearest term targeting 1.6560 and 1.6670 area. Immediate support is seen at 1.6420 followed by 1.6360. CCI in overbought area and heading down on h4 chart suggesting a potential minor downside correction.

Monday, June 1, 2009

GBPUSD Outlook

After some consolidation movement last week, the GBPUSD continued it’s bullish scenario on Friday. On hourly chart below we can see that after break above 1.6000 key level the pair topped at 1.6198 and close at 1.6186. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 1.6290. However, we seem to have a good resistance area at 1.6198 (Friday and November 5th 2008 high). We need a consistent movement above that area to confirm further bullish scenario. CCI in overbought area and heading down suggesting a potential downside rebound testing 1.6130 - 1.6090 support area.

Amazing GBP/JPY System

Have A Nice PIPS

Rules Of Trading

Trade Only When Trend and Position Indicator Agree
Trade With Your Mind, Not Your Heart
Trade Actuarially. Trade With a Clear Goal in Mind !
Avoid Being A Psycho-Trader!
No System is Infallible! Risk No More Than 5 % Equity per Live Session
Accept Losses as Graciously as You Accept Profits
Get Potential Profit With Trailing Stop EA

If the price moves in opposite direction the system change the Stop Loss (SL) level so the worst
case scenario is that you exit this trade with break even, profit and minimize lost.

On MT4 minimum Trailing Stop : 15 but with this EA you can set only 5 point.

You can DOWNLOAD This EA For FREE in This LINK
and User Guide in This Link

Using this EA, You can set Take Profit (TP) at smaller Pips but with bigger Lot.
It Means, Making Bigger Potential Win at each Trade.

Remember Again: Please test the Indicator and the Trailing Stop EA in to your demo account first, better late then regret later.

Have A Nice Pips…..
HOW TO AVOID FALSE SIGNAL

Click the image to open in full size.


To Avoid False Signal……..
All signal Must Confirm with TOPTREND Indicator.
TOPTREND is RED and above price = ONLY …SELL
TOPTREND is BLUE and below price = ONLY …BUYSO EASY………….
You can put the indicator in your folder:
C:/Program File/Meta Trader4/experts/indicators
then close your Meta trader platform and re open it.
Then Click …Insert….Indicator…Custom….TOPTREND ….that’s all….
You can DOWNLOAD HERE this TOPTREND Indicator
Success TIPS PANCA-EAGLE BREAK OUT

Click the image to open in full size.


Success Tips (1):
1. Make Sure and Always Confirm Your Action (Buy/Sell) with Trend Indicator
(You can combine with your trend indicator).
To Help You AVOID whipsaws.
2. Recommended to apply PIPSLOCK or TRAILING STOP
example : pipslock rules:
- Move your SL +5 after 20 pips profit.
- Move your SL +10 after 30 pips profit
- Move your SL +20 after 40 pips profit
- Move your SL +30 after 60 pips profit
etc….practice in demo account first to use pipslock…
you can set pipslock according to your experience to protect your pipsAnd You can use 15 pips Trailing Stop.
3.When current price is near buy/sell area, you shouldn’t do pending order.
but if current price in middle of red box , You can put pending order with 15 pips Trailing Stop. But You do instant execution buy/sell, It’s recommended and for better result.

have a nice pips…..
Panca-Eagle Break Out Forex Indicator (FREE)

Click the image to open in full size.


So Easy and Very Simple………………..

Take Your Pips………Everyday……………….
You Can Download Here…..FREE
Panca-Eagle Break Out Forex Indicator

Click the image to open in full size.


Panca-Eagle Break Out Strategy RULES:
1. For All Major Currency : EUR/USD, USD/CHF, GBP/USD or GBP/JPY (BEST)..etc
2.Trading Hour: You have to wait for the bars to get past the red box before you place an order at 10.30-21.00 WIB (GMT +7) in TF :30 Minute
3.Only 1 Buy & 1 Sell
4.No More Than 5-10% Equity each open trade
5.Minimum Take Profit = +10 pips for GU or GJ
Pips protect, secure + 10 pips when your running profit +30
Trailing Stop 15 pips (optional)
6. You can use Pending Order : TP 30 ans SL 30 , Buy and Sell at Green Area After past the Box. But Recommended If You use instant execution.
7. How To Entry:
Buy WHEN :
1.the price enter Upper Box Green Area After past the red Box…………….OK!
2.EMA 5 (red line) Upper EMA 13 (yellow line)………OK!
3.RSI >55……………………OK!
*1,2,3……OK!…..BUY…..
SellWHEN :
1.the price enter Bottom Box Green Area After past the red box………..OK!
2.EMA 5 (red line) Below EMA 13 (yellow line)……OK!
3.RSI <45……….ok!……….SELL

You should use this strategy in DEMO ACCOUT first……
and in LIVE ACCOUNT………..HAVE A NICE PIPS…………………..
Panca-Eagle Break Out Forex Indicator

Click the image to open in full size.


Free Daily Signal Everyday….For Live Time….
Free……Free……Free…..Forex Indicator Signal Free

“Panca-Eagle Break Out Strategy

This is without doubt,
One of The very Best chart set up pattern
You’ll ever see……….
Copy this indicator, and open Program File…Meta Trader….Expert Folder…in Indicator And Paste …

And Open Your Meta Trader…..Click..Insert….Indicator…. .Custom….and then Click…panca-eagle break out……….You’ll see in chart…this strategy like a picture a bove….
And then add indikator Moving Average (exponential) periode 5 with red color line and Moving Average (exponential) periode 13 with yellow collor line. Last…add indicator RSI…input..45 and 55….that’s ALL……..

PANCA EAGLE BREAKOUT SYSTEM